Presidential Politics 08 - The Money Primary
7th April 2007
In my first posts on the 2008 Presidential election, my persuasion analysis predicted that Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani would earn the nominations of their parties and that Hillary Clinton would ultimately win the election. You can scroll down the Blog to find those posts and my reasons. We’re now getting first results in the “money elections” or how successful candidates are in fund raising.
As I predicted, Hillary Clinton won this race, raising $26 million in the first quarter of 2007. Am I a smart guy or what?
Not completely.
Barack Obama raised $24 milllion and while my prediction wins the race, it is only by a nose and in the first lap. You’ll recall my persuasion disdain for Mr. Obama and his razor thin persuasion resume. Okay, he’ll burst into flames any minute now. I still think that Mrs. Clinton is darn nearly invincible as a campaigner, but this has got to be too close for her comfort.
On the Republican side, it appears that Mr. Giuliani raised $10 million or so and that Mr. Mitt Romney, whom I didn’t even consider in my first posts, raised almost as much as Mrs. Clinton. So, how smart am I really?
After one clear heat, my Democratic prediction is holding, but precariously while my Republican prediction is on the mat after one punch. It will be interesting to see how Mr. Giuliani recovers and how Mr. Romney exploits an advantage.